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基于深度学习的FY-4A降水估计方法OA

FY-4A Precipitation Estimation Method Based on Deep Learning

中文摘要英文摘要

传统的降水估计方法主要采用地面站点观测方式,但由于站点分布稀疏不均匀,尤其在"一带一路"、青藏高原等地形复杂地区,地面站点观测数据往往面临缺失、不完整等问题,严重影响了气象服务和技术研究.为此,提出一种基于深度学习的FY-4A降水估计方法.其利用注意力机制引导的卷积神经网络对卫星云图进行特征提取,自适应学习卫星云图与地面降水之间的复杂关系,从而实现降水估计.以最先进的业务再分析产品ERA5为基准数据进行大量实验,结果表明,该方法的均方根误差为0.425 mm/h,相关系数为0.541,CFSV2、GPM降水产品、Unet、Atten-tion-Unet和DLPE-MS深度学习降水估计方法的均方根误差分别降低了 25.569%、51.484%、0.932%、4.709%和2.299%,相关系数分别提升了34.577%、73.397%、3.442%、5.458%和5.664%,说明其相比其他降水产品和方法能更好地识别出降水区.该方法为天气预报、气候预测预警等气象服务和技术研究提供了高质量的基础数据支撑,为基于卫星的降水估计提供了一种新的研究思路.

Traditional precipitation estimation methods primarily rely on ground station observations.However,due to the sparse and uneven distribution of stations,especially in complex terrain areas such as the"Belt and Road"initiative and the Tibetan Plateau,ground station ob-servation data often face issues of missing and incomplete data,which severely affects meteorological services and technical research.To ad-dress this,a deep learning-based FY-4A precipitation estimation method is proposed.This method utilizes a convolutional neural network guided by an attention mechanism to extract features from satellite cloud images,adaptively learning the complex relationship between satellite cloud images and ground precipitation to achieve precipitation estimation.Extensive experiments were conducted using the state-of-the-art op-erational reanalysis product ERA5 as the benchmark data,the results show that the root mean square error(RMSE)of this method is 0.425 mm/h,and the correlation coefficient is 0.541.Compared to CFSV2,GPM precipitation products,and Unet,Attention-Unet,and DLPE-MS deep learning precipitation estimation methods,the RMSE was reduced by 25.569%,51.484%,0.932%,4.709%,and 2.299%,respective-ly,while the correlation coefficient was increased by 34.577%,73.397%,3.442%,5.458%,and 5.664%,respectively.This method can bet-ter identify precipitation areas compared to other precipitation products and methods.The proposed method provides high-quality foundational data support for meteorological services and technical research such as weather forecasting and climate prediction warnings,and offers a new research approach for satellite-based precipitation estimation.

张明亮;吴锡;解晋;胡靖;杨善敏

成都信息工程大学 计算机学院,四川 成都 610225成都信息工程大学 计算机学院,四川 成都 610225国家气象中心,北京 100081成都信息工程大学 计算机学院,四川 成都 610225成都信息工程大学 计算机学院,四川 成都 610225

信息技术与安全科学

卫星云图降水估计深度学习注意力机制

satellite cloud imagesprecipitation estimationdeep learningattention mechanism

《软件导刊》 2026 (1)

17-25,9

国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFA0608000)四川省科技计划项目(2024YFHZ0139)风云卫星应用先行计划项目(FY-APP-2022.0609)

10.11907/rjdk.241899

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