首页|期刊导航|江苏大学学报(医学版)|低张水充盈双能量胃CT联合临床信息构建进展期胃癌血管神经侵犯的预测模型

低张水充盈双能量胃CT联合临床信息构建进展期胃癌血管神经侵犯的预测模型OA

Predictive modeling of lymphovascular and perineural invasion in advanced gastric cancer:integrating hypotonic water-filling dual-energy CT with clinical information

中文摘要英文摘要

目的:探索低张水充盈胃双能CT静脉期影像特征、双能量CT参数及临床信息术前预测进展期胃癌神经侵犯(PNI)与脉管侵犯(LVI)的可行性.方法:回顾性收集术前1周内行双能CT成像的161例进展期胃癌病例资料,按7∶3随机拆分为训练集和测试集.根据术后病理结果,LVI/PNI阳性115例、阴性46例.利用低张水充盈胃CT静脉期影像组学特征、双能量CT参数[能谱曲线斜率(40 keV-100 keV)、标准化碘浓度、有效原子序数]和临床检验数据(炎症指标、肿瘤指标)构建LVI/PNI预测模型.模型的预测性能用ROC曲线下面积(AUC)评估,决策曲线分析评估临床实用性.结果:影像组学模型(Rad-score)在训练集和测试集中的AUC值分别为0.776(95%CI:0.653~0.821)、0.781(95%CI:0.582~0.847).双能量CT参数模型独立预测因素为标准化碘浓度,在训练集和测试集中的AUC值分别为0.729(95%CI:0.615~0.790)、0.771(95%CI:0.604~0.864).临床信息预测模型独立预测因素为淋巴细胞百分比,在训练集和测试集中的AUC分别为0.693(95%CI:0.638~0.805)、0.502(95%CI:0.352~0.648).Rad-score联合双能量CT参数、临床信息的联合模型独立预测因素包括Rad-score、标准化碘浓度和淋巴细胞百分比,在训练集和测试集中的AUC值分别为0.880(95%CI:0.701~0.859)、0.830(95%CI:0.602~0.857),效能优于影像组学模型、双能量CT参数模型和临床信息模型.DeLong检验显示,在训练集中联合模型的AUC值明显大于影像组学模型、双能量CT参数模型及临床信息模型的AUC值,差异有统计学意义(Z=1.979,P=0.048;Z=3.199,P=0.001;Z=3.053,P=0.001);在测试集中联合模型的AUC值明显大于临床信息模型的AUC值,差异有统计学意义(Z=2.417,P=0.015).决策曲线分析显示风险阈值在0.15~0.96时,采用联合模型指导治疗可获得更高的临床净获益率.结论:基于影像组学标签、标准化碘浓度和淋巴细胞百分比构建的联合模型能较好地预测进展期胃癌的血管神经侵犯.

Objective:To explore the feasibility of preoperative prediction of perineural invasion(PNI)and lymphovascular invasion(LVI)in advanced gastric cancer using dual-energy computed tomography(DECT)venous phase imaging features and spectral parameters of a hypotonic water-filled stomach,along with clinical laboratory information.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 161 cases of advanced gastric cancer that underwent DECT imaging within one week before surgery,and the cases were randomly divided into training sets and test sets in a 7∶3 ratio.Based on postoperative pathological assessment,115 cases demonstrated LVI and/or PNI positivity,whereas 46 cases were negative for both.A predictive model for LVI/PNI was developed using venous phase imaging of a hypotonic water-filled stomach,DECT parameters[including the slope of the spectral Hounsfeld unit curve(between 40 keV and 100 keV),normalized iodine concentration(NIC),and effective atomic number],and clinical laboratory data(inflammatory and tumor markers).The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using the area under the ROC curve(AUC),and its clinical utility was assessed using decision curve analysis.Results:The AUC values of the radiomics model(Rad-score)in the training sets and test sets were 0.776(95%CI:0.653-0.821)and 0.781(95%CI:0.582-0.847),respectively.The independent predictors for the DECT parametric model was NIC,with AUC values of 0.729(95%CI:0.615-0.790)in the training sets and 0.771(95%CI:0.604-0.864)in the test sets.For the clinical information predictive model,the independent predictor was lymphocyte percentage,with AUC values of 0.693(95%CI:0.638-0.805)in the training sets and 0.502(95%CI:0.352-0.648)in the test sets.The combined model integrating the Rad-score,DECT parameters,and clinical information had independent predictors including Rad-score,NIC,and lymphocyte percentage.The AUC values for this combined model were 0.880(95%CI:0.701-0.859)in the training sets and 0.830(95%CI:0.602-0.857)in the test sets,demonstrating superior performance compared to the radiomics model,DECT parametric model,and clinical model.The DeLong test showed that the AUC of the combined model was significantly higher than that of the radiomics model,DECT parametric model,and clinical information model in the training sets(Z=1.979,P=0.048;Z=3.199,P=0.001;Z=3.053,P=0.001).In the test sets,the AUC of the combined model was also significantly higher than that of the clinical information model(Z=2.417,P=0.015).Decision curve analysis revealed that when the risk threshold ranges from 0.15 to 0.96,adopting the combined model for treatment guidance yielded a higher clinical net benefit rate.Conclusion:The integrated model,incorporating radiomics,NIC,and lymphocyte percentage,serves as a comprehensive predictive model for assessing lymphovascular invasion and perineural invasion status in advanced gastric cancer.

刘展鹏;王霄霄;刘博文;彭晨;卢超;王芷旋;潘冬刚;周月圆;单秀红

江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002江苏大学附属人民医院医学影像科,江苏镇江 212002

医药卫生

胃癌脉管侵犯神经侵犯影像组学双能量CT

gastric cancerlymphovascular invasionperineural invasionradiomicsdual-energy computed tomography

《江苏大学学报(医学版)》 2026 (1)

65-74,10

10.13312/j.issn.1671-7783.y250001

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