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深部高应力区岩爆烈度等级预测模型及应用OA

Prediction Model and Application of Rock Burst Tendency in Deep High Stress Areas

中文摘要英文摘要

为确保深部高应力区岩土工程的施工安全,提升岩爆烈度等级预测的精准度,针对岩爆的突发性和复杂性,提出了一种基于鲸鱼优化算法(whale optimization algorithm,WOA)与极端梯度提升树(extreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)的组合岩爆烈度等级预测模型.首先,分析了影响岩爆烈度等级的主控因素,选取单轴抗压强度、最大切向应力、单轴抗拉强度、脆性系数、应力系数和弹性能量指数建立岩爆烈度等级预测指标体系,引入Pearson相关系数、链式方程多重插补法、合成少数类过采样技术(synthetic minority oversampling technique,SMOTE)和主成分分析法处理原始样本.其次,通过WOA优化XGBoost模型的最大迭代次数、树的最大深度和学习率,并采用准确率、精准度、召回率、F1 分数和科恩卡帕系数综合评价所建模型的预测结果.最后,将该模型应用于秦岭终南山公路隧道和江边水电站引水系统预测岩爆烈度等级.结果表明:经WOA优化后XGBoost模型的最大迭代次数、树的最大深度和学习率分别为 51、13 和 0.732 5 时效果最佳;基于WOA-XGBoost岩爆烈度等级预测模型得到的结果与实际等级的拟合度优于传统智能算法模型;通过将WOA-XGBoost模型应用于工程实践中,验证了该模型预测岩爆烈度等级具有较高的准确度和可靠性.

To ensure the construction safety of geotechnical engineering in deep high stress areas,a combined rock burst intensity prediction model based on whale optimization algorithm(WOA)and extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)is proposed to address the suddenness and complexity of rock burst.Firstly,the main controlling factors that affect the intensity level of rock burst are analyzed,and the uniaxial compressive strength,maximum tangential stress,uniaxial tensile strength,brittleness coefficient,stress coefficient,and elastic energy index are selected to establish a prediction index system for rock burst intensity level.The original samples are processed using the Pearson correlation coefficient,multiple imputation by chained equations(MICE),synthetic minority oversampling technique(SMOTE),and principal component analysis(PCA).Secondly,the maximum number of iterations,maximum depth of the tree,and learning rate of the XGBoost model were optimized through WOA,and the prediction results of the model were comprehensively evaluated using accuracy,precision,recall,F1 score,and Cohen Kappa coefficient.Finally,the model was applied to predict the rock burst intensity level of the Qinlingzhongnanshan highway tunnel and the water diversion system for hydropower stations.Results show that the WOA-optimized XGBoost model achieves optimal performance when the maximum number of iterations,maximum tree depth,and learning rate are 51,13,and 0.732 5,respectively.Prediction results for rock burst intensity level using the WOA-XGBoost model outperform those of other intelligent algorithm models,verifying the model's high accuracy and reliability in predicting rock burst intensity level.

祁云;白晨浩;段宏飞;代连朋;李绪萍;汪伟

内蒙古科技大学矿业与煤炭学院,内蒙古 包头 014010||山西大同大学煤炭工程学院,山西 大同 037000||中国职业安全健康协会《中国安全科学学报》编辑部,北京 100011山西大同大学煤炭工程学院,山西 大同 037000中山大学土木工程学院,广东 珠海 410012辽宁大学灾害岩体力学研究所,辽宁 沈阳 110036内蒙古科技大学矿业与煤炭学院,内蒙古 包头 014010内蒙古科技大学矿业与煤炭学院,内蒙古 包头 014010||山西大同大学煤炭工程学院,山西 大同 037000

资源环境

岩爆鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)极端梯度提升树(XGBoost)链式方程多重插补法(MICE)合成少数类过采样技术(SMOTE)

rock burstwhale optimization algorithm(WOA)extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)multiple imputation by chained equations(MICE)synthetic minority oversampling technique(SMOTE)

《高压物理学报》 2026 (2)

73-88,16

国家自然科学基金(52174188,52464020)内蒙古自治区自然科学基金(2024LHMS05012)山西省研究生实践创新项目(2024SJ378)山西大同大学研究生实践创新项目(2024SJCX05)

10.11858/gywlxb.20251103

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