首页|期刊导航|广东医学|血清白蛋白/肌酐比值预测急性主动脉夹层住院死亡率的价值及血肌酐与死亡风险的非线性关系

血清白蛋白/肌酐比值预测急性主动脉夹层住院死亡率的价值及血肌酐与死亡风险的非线性关系OA

Predictive value of the serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio for in-hospital mortality in acute aortic dissection and the nonlinear association between serum creatinine and mortality risk

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 探讨血清白蛋白/肌酐比值(sACR)对急性主动脉夹层(AAD)患者院内死亡的预测价值.方法 回顾性纳入990例AAD患者.采用Cox回归、限制性立方样条(RCS)、倾向评分匹配等方法分析sACR、血清肌酐(sCr)与院内死亡的关系,并通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)、改善指数(IDI)等评估预测效能.结果 死亡组sACR低于存活组(2.3 vs.3.6,P<0.001).多因素Cox回归显示sACR为独立保护因素(HR=0.70,95%CI:0.55~0.90,P=0.006).sCr 与死亡风险呈 U 型关系(sCr<0.6 mg/dL:HR=3.75;sCr>1.1 mg/dL:HR=2.30).亚组分析显示 sACR 在 A 型未手术(HR=0.62)和 B 型手术(HR=0.07)患者中预测价值显著.sACR预测死亡的AUC为0.697,优于血清白蛋白(ALB)(0.638)或sCr(0.675)单独预测(P<0.05).结论 sACR是AAD患者院内死亡的独立预测指标,其预测价值存在亚组差异,有助于风险分层与临床决策.

Objective To investigate the prognostic value of the serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio(sACR)for in-hospital mortality in patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)and to explore the nonlinear association between serum creatinine(sCr)and mortality risk.Methods A total of 990 patients diagnosed with AAD were retrospectively enrolled.Cox proportional hazards regression,restricted cubic spline(RCS)analysis,and propensity score matching(PSM)were applied to evaluate the associations between sACR,sCr,and in-hospital mortality.The predictive perform-ance of sACR was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)and integrated discrim-ination improvement(IDI).Results Patients who died during hospitalization had significantly lower sACR levels than survivors(2.3 vs.3.6,P<0.001).Multivariable Cox regression identified sACR as an independent protective factor for in-hospital mortality(HR=0.70;95%CI:0.55-0.90,P=0.006).RCS analysis demonstrated a U-shaped rela-tionship between sCr and mortality risk,with increased risk observed at sCr levels<0.6 mg/dL(HR=3.75)and>1.1 mg/dL(HR=2.30).Subgroup analyses revealed that sACR was a significant predictor of mortality in patients with type A AAD managed non-surgically(HR=0.62)and in surgically treated type B AAD patients(HR=0.07).The AUC of sACR for predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.697,which was significantly higher than that of serum albumin alone(0.638)or sCr alone(0.675)(P<0.05).Conclusion The serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with acute aortic dissection.Its prognostic value varies across clinical sub-groups and may facilitate early risk stratification and clinical decision-making.

陈家德;胡创加;陈业群;邓秀莲

汕头大学医学院第一附属医院心血管内科(广东汕头 515000)汕头大学医学院第一附属医院心血管内科(广东汕头 515000)汕头大学医学院第一附属医院心血管内科(广东汕头 515000)汕头大学医学院第一附属医院社区监测科(广东汕头 515000)

医药卫生

急性主动脉夹层血清白蛋白/肌酐比值院内死亡U型关系预后评估

acute aortic dissectionserum albumin-to-creatinine ratioin-hospital mortalityU-shaped re-lationshipprognostic assessment

《广东医学》 2026 (1)

55-63,9

10.13820/j.cnki.gdyx.20253058

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