新疆化石能源产业链韧性评价及障碍因素研究OA
Research on the Resilience Evaluation and Obstacle Factors of the Fossil Energy Industry Chain in Xinjiang
新疆是中国西部重要的能源基地,研究其化石能源产业对地区经济发展的作用具有重要意义.文章从产业链韧性的供应保障力、政策响应力、可持续发展力和创新驱动力四个维度出发,结合化石能源产业的特性,构建新疆化石能源产业链韧性综合评价指标体系.采用熵值法对2008-2022年新疆煤炭、石油和天然气产业链韧性进行评价,并运用障碍度模型找出影响产业链韧性提升的主要障碍因子.评价结果显示,2008-2022年,新疆煤炭、石油和天然气三大产业链韧性水平整体呈上升趋势.供应保障力和创新驱动力不足是制约新疆煤炭产业链韧性发展的主要原因,供应保障力和政策响应力不足是制约石油和天然气的主要原因.最后,文章提出了优化新疆化石能源产业链韧性的路径与对策建议.
As a significant energy base in western China,study Xinjiang's of fossil energy industry has a significant impact on the regional economic development.This study constructed a comprehensive evaluation indicator system for the resilience of Xinjiang's fossil energy industrial chain from four dimensions of resilience:supply guarantee capacity,policy responsiveness,sustainable development capacity,innovation driving capacity,combined with the characteristics of the Xinjiang's fossil energy industry.The entropy weight method was used to evaluate the resilience of Xinjiang's fossil energy industrial chain from 2008 to 2022,and the indicator barrier degree model was applied to identify the main factors that affect the improvement of resilience.The evaluation results show that from 2008 to 2022,the resilience levels of the three major industrial chains in Xinjiang,coal,oil,and natural gas,have generally shown an upward trend.The insufficiency of supply guarantee capacity and innovation driving capacity is the main reason restricting the resilience development of the coal industry chain in Xinjiang.The insufficiency of supply guarantee capacity and policy responsiveness is the main reason restricting the oil and gas industry.Finally,this paper proposes the paths and countermeasures for optimizing the resilience of the fossil energy industry chain in Xinjiang.
王晨;徐妍
新疆师范大学 商学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017新疆师范大学 商学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017
管理科学
化石能源产业链韧性障碍度模型优化路径
Fossil fuelsIndustrial chain resilienceObstacle degree modelPath Optimization
《新疆师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026 (2)
79-88,10
新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目(21BJY065).
评论