首页|期刊导航|水力发电|结合深度核学习与高斯过程的边坡稳定性预测方法

结合深度核学习与高斯过程的边坡稳定性预测方法OA

Slope Stability Prediction Combining Deep Kernel Learning and Gaussian Process

中文摘要英文摘要

鉴于边坡特征之间、特征与稳定性判定之间的复杂非线性关系,经典的高斯过程边坡稳定性预测方法在复杂结构建模上表现有限且难以处理大规模的边坡数据,提出一种结合深度核学习与高斯过程的边坡稳定性预测方法.首先,利用多层前馈网络对边坡特征进行深度提取,再将隐空间映射到带有径向基函数核的高斯过程,实现非参数不确定性量化.模型通过最大化边缘对数似然函数优化神经网络权重与核超参数,可端到端学习数据驱动的最优核.在公开的 Kaggle数据集上的试验表明,所提方法较经典机器学习算法随机森林 RF、支持向量机 SVM、高斯过程回归 GPR,以及深度学习方法门控循环单元 GRU、深度神经网络 DNN 在均方根误差、平均绝对误差和决定系数等指标上均取得最佳结果,为边坡灾害智能预警提供了新的技术支撑.

Given the complex nonlinear relationships among slope features and between these features and stability evaluation,classical Gaussian process-based slope stability prediction methods are limited in modeling intricate structures and are difficult to scale to large slope datasets.A slope stability prediction method combining deep kernel learning and Gaussian process is therefore proposed.A multilayer feedforward network first performs deep extraction of slope features,and the latent space is then mapped into a Gaussian process with a radial basis function kernel to realize nonparametric uncertainty quantification.By maximizing the marginal log-likelihood,the model jointly optimizes neural network weights and kernel hyperparameters,enabling end-to-end learning of a data-driven optimal kernel.Experiments on a public Kaggle dataset show that the proposed method surpasses classical machine learning algorithms of Random Forest(RF),Support Vector Machine(SVM),and Gaussian Process Regression(GPR),and the deep learning methods of Gated Recurrent Unit(GRU)and Deep Neural Network(DNN),achieving the best performance in root mean square error,mean absolute error,and coefficient of determination,thus providing new technical support for intelligent early warning of slope hazards.

李书;喻国荣;付兵杰;鲍海洲

水利部长江勘测技术研究所,湖北 武汉 430011长江勘测规划设计研究有限责任公司,湖北 武汉 430010武汉科技大学计算机科学与技术学院,湖北 武汉 430081水利部长江勘测技术研究所,湖北 武汉 430011

建筑与水利

边坡稳定性预测算法深度核学习高斯过程回归经典机器学习算法

slope stabilityprediction algorithmdeep kernel learningGaussian Process Regressionclassical machine learning algorithm

《水力发电》 2026 (2)

40-47,8

国家自然科学基金资助项目(42501559)湖北省自然科学基金资助项目(2025AFB544)长江勘测规划设计研究有限责任公司自主创新资助项目(CX2023Z34-1)

评论