首页|期刊导航|数据与计算发展前沿|基于工作流的陆地生态系统碳循环实时同化预测系统

基于工作流的陆地生态系统碳循环实时同化预测系统OA

The Real-Time Assimilation and Prediction System for Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Cycling Based on Workflow

中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]陆地生态系统碳循环对气候变化的反馈作用是全球变化研究的核心.目前缺乏实时、高效的自动化碳源汇评估和预测系统,难以快速准确地对全国陆地生态系统的碳源汇大小、稳定性和可持续性等进行定量评价.[方法]本研究构建了一套陆地生态系统碳循环实时同化预测系统,包括数据采集、传输、分析、工作流、调度、预测和可视化等多个核心模块.通过结合深度学习气象模型、碳循环过程模型、数据同化算法和生态迭代预测方法,不断融合实时传输的站点观测数据,实现了台站碳汇的实时短期预测,为从观测到预测的野外站科研模式提供范例.[结果]自2023年2月部署以来,系统已成功接入了鼎湖山、千烟洲、会同站等4个站点,迄今已积累超过11万条数据.[结论]系统显著提升了碳循环预测的实时性和效率,为生态研究和环境管理决策提供了可靠的数据支持和可观测的实时检索服务.

[Objective]The feedback effects of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling on climate change are central to global change research.Currently,there is a lack of real-time,efficient,and automated carbon source-sink assessment and prediction systems,making it difficult to quickly and accurately quantify the carbon sink size,stability,and sustainability.This limitation affects the formulation of carbon sequestration strategies and the implementation of carbon neutrality initiatives.[Methods]This study develops a real-time assimilation and prediction system for ter-restrial ecosystem carbon cycling,comprising multiple core modules such as data collection,transmission,analy-sis,workflow management,scheduling,prediction,and visualization.By integrating deep learning-based meteoro-logical models,carbon cycle process models,data assimilation algorithms,and ecological iterative prediction methods,the system continuously assimilates real-time station observation data to enable short-term carbon sink predictions,which serves as a paradigm for transitioning from observation to prediction in field station research.[Results]Since its deployment in February 2023,the system has successfully integrated with four stations,includ-ing Dinghushan,Qianyanzhou,and Huitong,accumulating over 110,000 data records to date.[Conclusion]The system significantly improves the timeliness and efficiency of carbon cycle prediction,providing reliable data support and observable real-time retrieval services for ecological research and environmental management deci-sion-making.

万萌;王珏;高超;何洪林;任小丽;聂宁明;曹荣强;王宗国;李凯;王晓光;王彦棡

中国科学院计算机网络信息中心,北京 100083中国科学院计算机网络信息中心,北京 100083中国科学院大学,资源与环境学院,北京 100190中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所生态系统网络观测与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101国家生态科学数据中心,北京 100101中国科学院大学,资源与环境学院,北京 100190中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所生态系统网络观测与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101国家生态科学数据中心,北京 100101中国科学院计算机网络信息中心,北京 100083中国科学院计算机网络信息中心,北京 100083中国科学院计算机网络信息中心,北京 100083

气候变化碳循环同化预测深度学习生态系统数据同化短期预测

climate changecarbon cycleassimilation predictiondeep learningecosystemdata assimilationshort-term prediction

《数据与计算发展前沿》 2026 (1)

168-182,15

国家重点研发计划"标准化生态台站监测数据产品体系构建与系统开发"(2021YFF0703902)

10.11871/jfdc.issn.2096-742X.2026.01.014

评论