政策性农业保险如何影响耕地质量?OA
How does policy-oriented agricultural insurance impact arable land quality?
利用黄淮海粮食主产区微观调研数据,运用IV-Probit模型实证分析农户购买政策性农业保险行为对耕地质量的影响,引入机制检验探究政策性农业保险对耕地质量的影响机制,并分组比较不同农户群体政策性农业保险的环境效应差异.结果表明,农户购买政策性农业保险对耕地质量具有显著正向影响,能够减少和分散农户面临的生产风险,提高农户最低收益,有利于改善耕地质量.政策性农业保险会通过促进有机肥绿色资本投入对耕地质量产生影响,农户因收入保障效应增强抗风险能力,转而关注粮食生产的长期可持续性与收入最大化,乐于承担扩大有机肥等绿色生产投入行为的成本并承受潜在风险.不同农户群体中政策性农业保险对耕地质量的影响效应存在差异,资源禀赋不足且承受风险能力较低的小规模农户群体在农业保险的支持下仍无法完全转为关注长期收益,限制了农业保险的环境效应.据此,建议持续推进并完善政策性农业保险体系,构建政策性农业保险与农技推广体系的协同机制,并制定差异化政策性农业保险支持政策.
This study utilizes micro-level survey data from the Huang-Huai-Hai major grain-producing region to empirically investigate the impact of policy-oriented agricultural insurance on arable land quality by applying an instrumental variable Probit(IV-Probit)model.To uncover the underlying mechanisms,the analysis incorporates mechanism testing to explore how agricultural insurance affects land quality and conducts subgroup comparisons to assess the heterogeneity of its environmental effects across different farm household types.The results show that farmer'purchase of policy-oriented agricultural insurance has a significant positive impact on farmland quality.It can reduce and diversify the production risks faced by farmers,increase their minimum income,and contribute to improving farmland quality.Moreover,agricultural insurance influences land quality indirectly by encouraging the adoption of organic fertilizer as a form of green capital input.The income security effect strengthens farmers'risk resilience,prompting a strategic shift toward long-term sustainability and profit maximization,and increasing their willingness to bear the costs and potential risks associated with enhanced investment in environmentally friendly inputs.However,the environmental effects of agricultural insurance vary across farmer groups.Among smallholders with limited resource endowments and low risk tolerance,insurance support does not fully induce a shift toward long-horizon returns,thereby constraining environmental benefits.Based on these findings,policy recommendations are proposed including strengthening and expanding policy-oriented agricultural insurance,establishing a synergistic mechanism between agricultural insurance and agricultural technology extension services to provide targeted support and guidance to farmers,and developing differentiated agricultural insurance policies tailored to the needs of different farmer groups.
董恺;穆月英
中国农业大学 经济管理学院,北京 100083中国农业大学 经济管理学院,北京 100083
管理科学
政策性农业保险耕地质量有机肥投入规模差异
policy-oriented agricultural insurancearable land qualityorganic fertilizer inputscale differences
《农林经济管理学报》 2026 (1)
110-118,9
国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA074)
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