返乡创业试点政策对农村居民收入的影响研究OA
Impact of return-to-hometown entrepreneurship pilot policies on rural household income
基于2011-2022年中国1 720个县级行政区的面板数据,采用多时点双重差分模型和中介效应模型,实证分析返乡创业试点政策对农村居民收入的影响机理.结果表明,返乡创业试点政策对农村居民收入具有显著正向影响,且在一系列稳健性检验后,该结论依然成立.机制分析发现,返乡创业试点政策主要通过生产要素扩容提质和三次产业融合两条路径发挥作用.异质性分析进一步表明,政策效果存在差异性.具体而言,中西部地区收入提升幅度显著高于东部地区,非粮食主产县收入增长高于主产县,劳动力输出县的政策响应更强,收入增幅高于劳动力输入县.此外,适度的县域间政策竞争有助于优化营商服务,增强政策执行效能.据此,建议重点强化中西部地区、非粮食主产县及劳动力输出县的要素整合与产业联动支持,建立区域协同机制以引导良性政策竞争,从而全面提升返乡创业政策的实施效果.
Based on panel data from 1 720 counties in China between 2011 and 2022,this study employs a multi-period difference-in-differences approach and mediation analysis to examine the impact of the return-to-hometown entrepreneurship pilot policies on rural household income.The results show that the policies significantly boost rural income,an effect that remains robust across multiple robustness checks.Mechanism analysis reveals that the policy operates mainly through facilitating factor expansion and quality improvement and enhancing the integration of the three industries.Heterogeneity analysis further shows differential policy effects across different contexts.Specifically,the income increase is significantly greater in central and western regions compared to the east,higher in non-grain-producing counties than in major grain-producing counties,and more pronounced in labor-exporting counties than in labor-importing counties.Additionally,moderate intensity of inter-county competition helps optimize the business environment and enhance policy implementation efficiency.Accordingly,we recommend prioritizing support for central and western regions,non-grain-producing counties,and major labor-exporting counties by strengthening factor integration and industrial linkages,while establishing regional coordination mechanisms to foster constructive policy competition and enhance overall policy effectiveness.
沈琼;安雪洁;郭熙保
郑州大学 商学院,河南 郑州 450001郑州大学 商学院,河南 郑州 450001广西师范大学 经济管理学院,广西 桂林 541004
管理科学
返乡创业试点政策农村居民收入要素扩容提质三次产业融合县域竞争强度
return-to-hometown entrepreneurship pilot policyrural household incomefactor expansion and quality improvementintegration of the three industriesintensity of inter-county competition
《农林经济管理学报》 2026 (1)
90-99,10
国家社会科学基金重大项目(24&ZD006)
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