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全球石墨产业链贸易网络韧性研究OA

Research on the Resilience of the Global Graphite Industry Chain Trade Network

中文摘要英文摘要

在全球绿色低碳转型加速的背景下,石墨作为战略性关键矿产,其供应链稳定对促进新能源、新材料和航空航天等现代新兴领域发展至关重要.本文基于复杂网络理论,从静态结构韧性、动态抗干扰能力与关键节点韧性 3 个维度,对全球石墨产业链贸易网络韧性开展研究.结果表明:(1)石墨贸易网络整体呈现无标度与小世界特征,但不同产品层级结构差异显著:深加工产品网络连接紧密、效率高、韧性较强,而原材料与初级产品网络依赖核心节点中转,异配性高,更易受地缘因素与供应冲击影响;(2)在动态情景冲击下,初级产品原材料网络在蓄意攻击下性能急剧恶化且恢复缓慢,深加工产品网络则凭借路径多元与冗余关系表现出更强的功能维持与恢复能力;(3)关键节点抗干扰性呈现结构性差异,中上游环节控制力集中、脆弱性高,下游环节节点功能更为分散,结构韧性增强.中国在中上游具有突出的控制与中转能力,并在下游保持持续影响力;荷兰、德国等则在全链条中持续发挥枢纽作用.最后,本文提出了一些提升全球石墨贸易网络系统韧性、保障关键矿产资源供应链安全稳定的政策建议.

The accelerated global shift toward a green and low-carbon economy has elevated graphite to a strategic critical mineral.Ensuring a stable and secure graphite supply chain is now critical for advancing key modern sectors like new energy,new materials,and aerospace.Based on complex network theory,this study examines the resilience of the global graphite industry chain trade network from three dimensions:static structural resilience,dynamic disturbance resistance,and key node resilience.The findings indicate that:(1)the graphite trade network exhibits scale-free and small-world characteristics,yet significant structural differences exist across product tiers.The deep-processed product network is tightly connected,efficient,and resilient,whereas the raw material and primary product networks rely heavily on core nodes,display high heterogeneity,and are more vulnerable to geopolitical factors and supply shocks;(2)under dynamic scenario shocks,the primary raw material network deteriorates rapidly and recovers slowly under targeted attacks,while the deep-processed product network demonstrates stronger functional maintenance and recovery capacity due to diversified pathways and redundant connections;(3)key nodes show structural disparities in resi-lience—upstream and midstream links exhibit centralized control and high vulnerability,whereas downstream links feature more de-centralized functions and enhanced structural resilience.China holds prominent control and transit capabilities in upstream and mid-stream segments and sustains influence downstream,while countries such as the Netherlands and Germany maintain pivotal roles across the entire chain.Finally,this paper proposes policy recommendations to enhance the resilience of the global graphite trade network and ensure the security and stability of key mineral resource supply chains.

徐水太;李婷;朱文兴;钟文

江西理工大学经济管理学院,赣州 341000江西理工大学有色金属产业发展研究院,赣州 341000江西理工大学经济管理学院,赣州 341000江西理工大学经济管理学院,赣州 341000

管理科学

石墨产业链贸易网络静态结构韧性动态抗干扰能力关键节点韧性中断模拟关键矿产资源供应链安全

graphite industry chaintrade networkstatic structural resiliencedynamic disturbance resistancekey node resiliencedisruption simulationkey mineral resourcesecurity and stability of supply chains

《工业技术经济》 2026 (2)

164-176,13

国家自然科学基金项目"赣南离子型稀土矿区生态安全预警调控机制研究"(项目编号:72564023).

10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2026.02.016

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