首页|期刊导航|国际论坛|美国开源情报战略的演进、内在逻辑与制约因素

美国开源情报战略的演进、内在逻辑与制约因素OA

U.S.Open Source Intelligence Strategy:Evolution,Internal Logic,and Constraining Factors

中文摘要英文摘要

随着开源情报的战略价值在全球安全与竞争格局中持续凸显,美国开源情报的战略地位不断提升,从传统秘密情报的辅助手段演进为支撑其大国竞争、维护全球战略优势的关键工具.美国开源情报战略的演进蕴含三重逻辑:在战略需求层面,既聚焦国内安全防御,又服务大国竞争主导权的争夺;在技术赋能层面,依托人工智能等前沿技术赋能情报生产全链条,同时构建防护体系保障技术应用可靠性;在多元协同层面,整合政府情报机构、私营机构、学术力量及国际盟友资源,打造多维度协作网络.为推动战略落地,美国从技术应用、机构设置、人才培养三大维度持续强化能力建设.美国开源情报战略的推进对国际秩序产生深远冲击,具体表现为侵蚀他国数据主权与隐私保护、加剧全球情报领域的"军备竞赛",以及增加国际冲突风险.其同时也面临多重限制,如技术依赖与信息生态紊乱形成的双重桎梏、外部法律规制与战略对手反制构成的双重压力,以及情报界内部协调壁垒与预算资源约束引发的深层矛盾,制约该战略效能的充分释放.

As the strategic value of open-source intelligence continues to rise within the evolving landscape of global security and great-power competition,its position in the United States has steadily advanced,evolving from a supplementary instrument of traditional classified intelligence to a critical and indispensable tool for sustaining long-term national strategic advantages.The evolution of the United States' open source intelligence strategy embodies a threefold logic.At the level of strategic demand,it addresses the dual imperative of safeguarding domestic security and defense while simultaneously supporting broader efforts to shape the balance of power in great-power rivalry.At the level of technological enablement,the strategy relies on advanced technologies,particularly artificial intelligence to strengthen every stage of the intelligence-production chain,while establishing robust protective mechanisms to ensure the reliability,resilience,and accountability of technological applications in practical operations.At the level of diversified collaboration,the strategy integrates resources from governmental intelligence agencies,private-sector organizations,academic institutions,and international allies,thereby constructing a multidimensional,mutually reinforcing network of cooperation.To facilitate the effective implementation of this strategic framework,the United States continuously enhances capacity building across three major dimensions:technological application,institutional design,and professional talent development.The advancement of the United States' open-source intelligence strategy has far-reaching implications for the international order,manifested in the erosion of other states' data sovereignty and privacy protections,the intensification of a global intelligence-oriented"arms race,"and an elevated risk of international conflict driven by increasingly competitive intelligence operations.Nevertheless,the strategy simultaneously encounters multiple structural constraints,including a dual bind posed by technological dependence and the growing disorder of the information ecosystem,dual pressures from external legal regulations and countermeasures undertaken by strategic competitors,as well as deep-seated tensions arising from coordination barriers within the intelligence community alongside budgetary and organizational limitations.Collectively,these constraints significantly impede the full realization of the intended strategic effectiveness of the United States' open-source intelligence framework,limiting its potential to fully support national security and competitive objectives within an increasingly complex and dynamic global environment.

李逯炜

中国人民公安大学法学院(北京 邮编:100038)

社会科学

美国开源情报战略演进国家安全大国竞争

U.S.open source intelligencestrategic evolutionnational securitygreat-power competition

《国际论坛》 2026 (1)

24-41,18

10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2026.01.002

评论