2024/25年榨季极端干旱对广西糖料蔗生产的影响OA
Impacts of Extreme Drought on Sugarcane Production in Guangxi During the 2024/25 Crushing Season
为明确极端干旱对广西糖料蔗生产的影响,为区域甘蔗防旱避灾生产提供科学依据,本研究在2024/25年榨季采用面上调查、数据收集与实地调查相结合的方法,系统分析干旱对广西甘蔗生产的影响.实地调研结果显示,长期干旱引发多重生产问题:一是导致甘蔗茎秆空心、上部芽段干瘪;二是受8 月早到台风叠加影响,多数倒伏甘蔗低位节根被迫扎土,机械收割损耗率升高;三是土壤严重干裂,耕犁深度仅约 5 cm,农具断裂率较往年提高 2 倍以上;四是淋水耕作或种植后淋水的蔗田,每公顷增加成本约 4 500~7 500 元;五是出苗率显著下降,尤其秋冬或早春种植蔗田出苗率极低,补种及翻种面积创历史新高.调查数据表明,2025 年广西甘蔗长势较 2024 年显著减弱:新植蔗方面,79.17%的县区出苗率下降,91.67%的县区株高下降,37.50%的县区枯心苗率上升,54.16%的县区黑穗病株率上升,但整体枯心苗率和黑穗病率低于宿根蔗;宿根蔗普遍出现株高下降,部分地区枯心苗率显著增加,41.68%的县区黑穗病危害加重.区域受灾差异明显,柳江、象州、武宣受害最轻,灵山、罗城、宁明最重.干旱导致广西甘蔗单产由 70.50 t/hm2 降至 63.75 t/hm2,榨蔗量由 5 360万t减至 4 860万t.2024/25年榨季广西极端干旱对甘蔗生产造成了系统性冲击,且影响在新植蔗与宿根蔗之间、不同区域之间存在显著差异,该研究为制定分区分类的抗旱管理策略提供了科学依据.
To assess the impact of extreme drought on sugarcane production in Guangxi and provide scientific guidance for regional drought prevention and mitigation,this study conducted a comprehensive analysis of sugarcane production conditions during the 2024/25 crushing season based on large-scale surveys,data collection,and field investigations.The field survey results indicated that multiple production problems occurred under prolonged drought conditions.First,hollow sugarcane stalks and shriveled upper buds were commonly observed.Second,the lower nodes of many lodged sugarcane stalks were forced into the soil due to early typhoons in August,which increased mechanical harvesting losses.Third,the severe soil cracking that occurred limited the plowing depth to approximately 5 cm,more than doubling the breakage rate of farm implements compared to previous years.Fourth,additional costs of 4 500~7 500 yuan/hm2 were incurred in sugarcane fields due to irrigation after planting.Fifth,seedling emergence was particularly low values in sugarcane cultivated in autumn,winter,or early spring,resulting in record-high areas of replanting.The survey data indicated that the growth of sugarcane in Guangxi in 2025 had significantly weakened compared to 2024.For newly planted sugarcane,the seedling emergence rate decreased in 79.17%of counties,and the plant height decreased in 91.67%of counties.Meanwhile,the dead heart seedling rate increased in 37.50%of counties and the smut-infected plant rate rose in 54.16%of counties,though the overall rates of both dead heart seedlings and smut remained lower than those of ratoon sugarcane.In ratoon sugarcane,plant height generally declined,and smut incidence increased in 41.68%of counties,and dead heart seedling rates sharply increased in several areas.Compared to ratoon sugarcane,newly planted sugarcane showed lower rates of smut disease and dead heart seedlings.Regional differences in damage were pronounced,with Liujiang,Xiangzhou,and Wuxuan being the least affected,while Lingshan,Luocheng,and Ningming were the most severely affected.Drought reduced the average sugarcane yield in Guangxi from 70.50 t/hm2 to 63.75 t/hm2,and the total sugarcane crushing volume decreased from 53.6 million tons to 48.6 million tons.The extreme drought during the 2024/25 crushing season in Guangxi exerted a comprehensive impact on sugarcane production,revealing significant differences in its effects between newly planted and ratoon sugarcane,as well as across various regions,thereby providing a scientific basis for formulating targeted drought mitigation strategies.
卢星高;文俊丽;廖树冠;吴建明;陈教云;邓宇驰;赖振光;周忠凤;吴宗猛;陈荣发;范业赓;吴延勇
广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西扶南东亚糖业有限公司,广西 崇左 532200广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007广西农业科学院甘蔗研究所/农业农村部广西甘蔗生物技术与遗传改良重点实验室/广西甘蔗遗传改良重点实验室,广西 南宁 530007
农业科技
甘蔗干旱胁迫出苗数株高枯心苗率黑穗病株率产量
SugarcaneDrought stressSeedling emergencePlant heightDead heart seedling rateSmut incidenceYield
《甘蔗糖业》 2026 (1)
22-32,11
广西科技计划项目(农业农村领域)(桂科农AB24153007)国家现代农业产业技术体系广西甘蔗创新团队建设(nycytxgxcxtd52021503)广西糖产业先进集群打造路径研究(2025GXH07)广西农业科学院基本科研业务专项(桂农科2025YP018、桂农科2025YP023、桂农科2026YP096)
评论