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新疆吉木萨尔县2024年声波增雨试验效果统计OA

Statistical analysis of 2024 experimental acoustic rainfall enhancement,Jimsar County,Xinjiang

中文摘要英文摘要

声波增雨技术采用地基强声源对空中云层发射低频声波,实现加快云滴碰并、增强降雨的效果,具有不占用空域、作业启闭方便、运行成本低等特点,适用于在干旱半干旱地区开展长期作业,并通过水库调蓄实现空中与地表水资源的联合利用.本研究于2024年5-8月期间在新疆昌吉回族自治州吉木萨尔县西大龙口河流域内建设作业点、布设观测设备,开展声波增雨对比试验,共取得13个有效作业日和8个有效对比日.基于地面降雨观测数据,在双比分析法和Mann-Whitney U检验法的基础上设计影响区识别算法,对声波增雨试验的增雨范围和增雨效果开展统计分析.结果表明:(1)声波作业改变了局地降水空间分布,作业点及下风向区域降雨增强,有效影响面积91 km2.(2)影响面积内增雨比例为58%,Mann-Whitney U检验统计显著,P-value=0.008.(3)13个有效作业日取得增雨深68.4 mm、体积增雨量6.22×106 m3,试验期间可增雨量为8.21×106 m3.本研究为新疆"增水"战略的实施提供实证支持和技术参考,但仍需开展更大时空尺度的验证试验和对云微物理过程的深入研究,以进一步推进声波增雨技术的业务化应用.

Acoustic rainfall enhancement(ARE)technology employs ground-based high-intensity sound sources to accelerating the coalescence of cloud droplets.This technology offers several operational advantages,includ-ing no airspace occupation,flexible operational control,and low operational costs,making it particularly suitable for long-term operations in arid and semi-arid regions.Furthermore,it enables integrated utilization of atmospher-ic and surface water resources through reservoir storage.From May to August 2024,field experiments were con-ducted in the Xidalongkou River Basin,Jimsar County,Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture,Xinjiang Uygur Au-tonomous Region,China.An operational site was established and observational instruments were deployed to conduct comparative ARE experiments.Using ground-based precipitation observations from 13 valid operational days and 8 valid control days,an impact area identification algorithm was developed using the double-ratio meth-od and Mann-Whitney U test to statistically analyze the spatial extent and effectiveness of ARE.The results are as follows:(1)The acoustic operations altered the localspatial distribution of rainfall,with enhanced rainfall ob-served at the sound-emissionsite and downwind areas,an impact area of 91 km2.(2)The rainfall enhancement ra-tio within the impact area was 58%,using Mann-Whitney U test;P-value=0.008.(3)Duringthe 13 operational days,enhanced rainfall depth of 68.4 mm and enhanced rainfall volume of 6.22×106 m³were observed,the entire experimental period,a total rainfall volume of 8.21×106 m³can be enhanced.This study provides empirical evi-dence and technical reference for implementing Xinjiang water augmentation strategy.However,operational ap-plication of this technology requires further validation at larger spatiotemporal scales and in-depth investigation of cloud microphysical processes.

王金钊;李铁键;陈亮;王小刚;丁明涛;赵杰;乔禛;李小龙

青海大学土木水利学院,青海 西宁 810016青海大学土木水利学院,青海 西宁 810016清华大学水圈科学与水利工程全国重点实验室,北京 100084清华大学水利水电工程系,北京 100084昌吉回族自治州水利局,新疆 昌吉 831500昌吉回族自治州水利管理总站,新疆 昌吉 831199吉木萨尔县水利管理站,新疆 昌吉 831799清华大学水圈科学与水利工程全国重点实验室,北京 100084

声波增雨统计检验双比法Ka云雷达半干旱地区

acoustic rainfall enhancementstatistical testingdouble-ratio methodKa-band cloud radarsemi-arid region

《干旱区研究》 2026 (1)

37-49,13

昌吉回族自治州水利管理总站项目(20242001433)新疆维吾尔自治区重点研发计划项目(2023B03019-3)兵团指导性计划项目-高寒山区云水资源高效利用关键技术研究与应用(2024ZD031)

10.13866/j.azr.2026.01.04

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