1980-2024年西藏大气总水含量时空变化OA
Spatiotemporal changes in atmospheric total water content in Xizang from 1980 to 2024
第二次青藏科考揭示了"亚洲水塔"失衡与暖湿化趋势的科学事实,西藏是气候和生态环境变化的敏感区和关键区,掌握大气总水含量时空变化规律,对于西藏生态安全屏障和生态文明高地建设意义重大.结合1980-2024年ERA5再分析资料,采用区域平均法、EOF展开、Mann-Kendall和线性趋势分析等方法,探讨西藏大气总水含量时空变化特征.结果表明:(1)西藏大气总水含量具有显著的空间差异性,其中年平均大气总水含量从藏东南的最大38.3 mm骤降到藏西北最小2.0 mm,且藏东南空间变化最为剧烈.(2)经EOF展开,前3个空间模态只有夏、秋、冬的第一模态表现为西藏全区一致性的变化,且时间系数变化暗示大气总水含量有增多趋势,其他空间模态均有变化相反的空间分布.(3)空间场变化趋势上,夏、秋季西藏大部分区域大气总水含量增多趋势显著,其中夏季增多量值大部分区域在0.3 mm·(10a)-1以上.(4)区域平均的大气总水含量春、夏、秋季和年的增多趋势显著,且这种增多趋势可判定为突变现象,具体开始时间分别为2003年、2006年、2016年和2006年.
The Second Scientific Expedition on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau revealed the imbalance between the Asian Water Tower and the warming-wetting tendency of the plateau.Xizang is a critical region sensitive to cli-mate and eco-environmental changes.Therefore,understanding spatiotemporal changes in atmospheric total wa-ter content is of great significance for the construction of ecological security barriers and the highland ecology of Xizang.Based on ERA5 reanalysis data from 1980 to 2024,this study investigates spatiotemporal changes in at-mospheric total water content in Xizang using methods including regional averaging,EOF decomposition,the Mann-Kendall test,and linear trend analysis.The results indicate the following:(1)The spatial variation of the an-nual-mean atmospheric total water content in Xizang is significant,decreasing sharply from the maximum in southeastern Xizang(38.3 mm)to the minimum(2.0 mm)in northwestern Xizang,with the spatial variation in southeastern Xizang being the most intense.(2)According to the results of the EOF decomposition analysis,only the first modes of summer,autumn,and winter atmospheric total water content regional consistent change across Xizang,while.In contrast,the other modes exhibit a spatial inconsistent change.(3)In most regions of Xizang,the atmospheric total water content increases significantly in spring,summer,and autumn.In summer,this in-crease generally exceeds 0.3 mm per 10 years.(4)The spring-,summer-,autumn-,and annual-mean atmospheric total water contents significantly increase in years 2003,2006,2016,and 2006,respectively.These can be inter-preted as abrupt climate changes.
余忠水;王美蓉;刘明竑;高佳佳;德庆卓嘎;格央;扎西
西藏高原大气环境科学研究所,西藏 拉萨 850001墨脱大气水分循环西藏自治区野外科学观测研究站,西藏 墨脱 860700中国气象局日喀则国家气候观象台,西藏 日喀则 857000南京信息工程大学,江苏 南京 210044中国气象科学研究院,北京 100081西藏高原大气环境科学研究所,西藏 拉萨 850001中国气象局日喀则国家气候观象台,西藏 日喀则 857000
大气总水含量时空分布变化特征ERA5西藏
atmospheric total water contentspatiotemporal distributionvariation characteristicsERA5Xi-zang
《干旱区研究》 2026 (1)
1-12,12
西藏自治区科技创新基地建设项目(XZ202401YD0008)
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