美国对华地缘—技术竞争视域下的中亚智库叙事研究OA
Study of Central Asian Think Tanks' Narratives under the Sino-U.S.Geo-technological Competition
当前世界百年未有之大变局加速演进,竞争和合作格局发生深刻变化.全球地缘竞争也经历了从陆权和海权争霸、意识形态集团对抗以及短暂的单极时刻,再到现阶段以技术驱动、领域融合为特征的复合竞争.中亚地区各国虽然在新兴技术领域竞争力有限,但由于自身独特的交通区位、能源资源和区域安全禀赋,成为大国竞争中的重要参与方.通过聚焦俄乌冲突爆发后的特定时间周期,系统构建中亚五国官方一流智库在涉及美国对华地缘—技术竞争议题上的核心观点数据库,深入剖析各国叙事框架,并进一步揭示各国背后的战略考量与行为逻辑,可以为中国与中亚的区域合作提供具有现实指导意义的战略参考.分析表明,中亚智库叙事总体呈现出务实的发展导向,具体表现为不断增强的区域自主意识及多元平衡战略,以及随国家体量、地缘条件所形成的多样化利益关切.对此,中国应在高质量共建"一带一路"倡议总体框架下,锚定发展优先并兼具差异化的区域合作战略,为新型国际关系实践提供示范样本.
The unprecedented global changes are accelerating,and the competitive and collaborative landscape is undergoing profound changes.The global geopolitical competition has also gone through rivalry for land and sea powers,ideological group confrontation,and a brief uni-polar moment,and now it has entered a technology-driven and industrial-integrated Sino-U.S.hybrid competition.The Central Asian region has limited competitiveness in emerging technology,but due to its unique endowments in transportation,energy and security,it becomes a key player in the competition among major countries.Focusing on the specific period since the Russia-Ukraine Conflict,the core database of the five Central Asian countries' top official think tanks on the topics of Sino-U.S.geo-technology competition are established systematically,and the narrative framework of countries are deeply analyzed,and the strategic considerations and action logics behind it are explored.This approach can provide practical strategic guidance for regional cooperation between China and Central Asia.Analysis shows that the narrative of Central Asian think tanks generally presents a pragmatic development orientation,including an increasing sense of regional autonomy and a diversified balance strategy,as well as different concerns varied with the scale and geographical conditions of the countries.Therefore,China should,under the framework of high-quality joint-construction of the Belt and Road,anchor the regional cooperation strategy of development priority and differentiation,and provide a model for the practice of new international relations.
劳灵珊;翟崑;陈溪
浙江外国语学院新型国际关系高等研究院(杭州 邮编:310023)浙江外国语学院西方语言文化学院(杭州 邮编:310023)北京大学国际关系学院
社会科学
地缘—技术中亚五国智库一带一路前沿交叉区域国别研究
Sino-U.S.geo-technological competitionCentral Asian Statesthink tanksthe"Belt and Road"frontier and cross-disciplinary area studies
《国际论坛》 2026 (1)
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