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中国造纸行业碳排放研究进展:核算、影响与路径OA

Research Progress on Carbon Emissions in China's Paper Industry:Accounting,Impacts,and Pathways

中文摘要英文摘要

本文首先从生命周期评价(LCA)、投入产出分析及核算边界等维度,评述了碳排放核算方法与关键议题.其次,分析了中国造纸行业碳排放的时空演变特征,并运用因素分解模型揭示了经济增长、能源强度与能源结构等核心驱动因素的作用机制.进而,从源头控制、过程节能、末端治理、系统协同等层面,归纳了碳减排的关键技术与路径体系.最后,指出现有研究在数据基础、动态模拟、技术经济综合评估及政策协同分析等方面的不足,并展望了构建统一核算平台、深化系统集成优化、加强多情景模拟与政策协同效应评估、拓展全球价值链碳责任等未来研究方向,以期为推动中国造纸行业深度脱碳与高质量发展提供理论参考.

This paper systematically reviewed carbon emission accounting methods and key issues from the perspectives of life cycle assess-ment(LCA),input-output analysis,and accounting boundaries.Secondly,it analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of car-bon emissions in China's paper industry and employed decomposition models to reveal the mechanisms of core driving factors such as eco-nomic growth,energy intensity,and energy structure.Finally,the paper pointed out deficiencies in existing research regarding data foun-dations,dynamic simulation,techno-economic comprehensive assessment,and policy synergy analysis.It also prospected future re-search directions,including building a unified accounting platform,deepening research on system integration and optimization,strength-ening multi-scenario simulation and policy synergy effect evaluation,and expanding research on carbon responsibilities within global val-ue chains,aiming to provide theoretical references for promoting deep decarbonization and high-quality development in China's pulp and paper industry.

赵耘墨;周在峰;和珊珊;董凤霞;周军;雷明

中央民族大学经济学院,北京,100081中国制浆造纸研究院有限公司,北京,100102丽江文化旅游学院,云南 丽江,674199中国制浆造纸研究院有限公司,北京,100102南宁职业技术大学,广西 南宁,530008北京大学光华管理学院,北京,100871

轻工纺织

造纸行业碳排放碳核算碳足迹低碳转型生命周期评价

pulp and paper industrycarbon emissionscarbon accountingcarbon footprintlow-carbon transitionlife cycle assessment(LCA)

《中国造纸》 2026 (1)

68-75,8

10.11980/j.issn.0254-508X.2026.01.008

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