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科技金融与新质生产力:时空演化特征及动态互动效应OA

Technology Finance and New Quality Productivity:Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Dynamic Interactive Effects

中文摘要英文摘要

新质生产力以科技创新为核心驱动,科技金融则通过构建多元化资金供给体系为科技创新活动提供关键支撑,二者形成了一定的动态互动关系.文章基于我国30个省份和279个地级及以上城市的面板数据,运用熵权-TOPSIS法、核密度估计、Jenks自然断点分级法与PVAR模型,系统剖析科技金融与新质生产力的时空演化特征及动态互动效应.结果表明,二者的发展水平整体呈上升趋势,但区域差异显著;在动态关系上,存在单向格兰杰因果关系,新质生产力对科技金融的带动效应显著,而科技金融对新质生产力的助推效应则呈现异质性,主要集中于劳动者结构、劳动生产率、产业现代化、污染减排及数字基础设施维度.

New quality productivity is mainly driven by technological innovation,and technology finance provides critical support for scientific and technological innovation activities by establishing a diversified capital supply system.The two have formed a certain dynamic interactive relationship.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces and 279 cities at prefecture level and above in China,this paper systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and dynamic interaction effects of technology finance and new quality productivity by using the entropy weight-TOPSIS method,kernel density estimation,Jenks natural breaks classification method and PVAR model.The results go as below:The development levels of both show an overall upward trend,but there are significant regional differences.In terms of dynamic relationships,a unidirectional Granger causality exists,where new quality productivity significantly drives technology finance,while the boosting effect of technology finance on new quality productivity exhibits heterogeneity,primarily concentrated in the dimensions of labor structure,labor productivity,in-dustrial modernization,pollution reduction and digital infrastructure.

杨伟坤;王海净;李巧莎

河北金融学院 河北省科技金融重点实验室,河北 保定 071051河北金融学院 河北省科技金融重点实验室,河北 保定 071051河北金融学院 河北省科技金融重点实验室,河北 保定 071051

管理科学

科技金融新质生产力时空演化动态互动效应

technology financenew quality productivityspatiotemporal evolutiondynamic interaction effect

《统计与决策》 2026 (1)

17-23,7

河北省社会科学基金资助项目(HB24YJ006)

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2026.01.003

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