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一类基于高斯白噪声的随机SEIQR猴痘传播模型OA

A Class of Stochastic SEIQR Monkeypox Propagation Models Based on Gaussian White Noise

中文摘要英文摘要

考虑具有高斯白噪声扰动的随机SEIQR猴痘传染病模型.首先,利用停时理论证明随机模型全局正解的存在唯一性,并通过构造Lyapunov函数、结合Itô公式,给出随机模型的解在相应确定性模型的无病平衡点和地方病平衡点附近的渐近行为;其次,给出随机模型解的平均持久性及疾病灭绝的条件;最后,通过数值模拟考察噪声对模型的影响.结果表明:随机模型在确定性模型的平衡点附近扰动,扰动程度与噪声强度呈正相关;当噪声充分大时,疾病会灭绝.

We considered a stochastic SEIQR monkeypox epidemic model with Gaussian white noise.Firstly,the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution for the stochastic model were proved by using stopping time theory.By constructing a Lyapunov function and combining it with Itô formula,the asymptotic behavior of the solutions of stochastic model near the disease-free equilibrium point and endemic equilibrium point of the corresponding deterministic model was given.Secondly,we gave conditions for the average persistence of the solutions and disease extinction of the stochastic model.Finally,numerical simulations were conducted to examine the impact of noise on the model.The results show that the stochastic model perturbs near the equilibrium point of the deterministic model,and the degree of perturbation is positively correlated with the noise intensity.When the noise is sufficiently large,the disease will become extinct.

吴文哲;张太雷

长安大学理学院,西安 710064长安大学理学院,西安 710064

数理科学

猴痘传染病模型Itô公式随机效应持久性灭绝性

monkeypox epidemic modelItô formularandom effectpersistenceextinction

《吉林大学学报(理学版)》 2026 (1)

49-61,13

陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(批准号:2025JC-YBMS-004).

10.13413/j.cnki.jdxblxb.2025144

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