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老龄化浪潮下的银发经济:东亚模式比较与中国发展路径OA

Silver Economy under the Aging Wave:Comparison of East Asian Models and China's Development Path

中文摘要英文摘要

当前中国正处于人口老龄化快速发展阶段,根据有关预测将在 2035 年前后进入重度老龄化,2050 年左右人口老龄化达峰,这一人口老龄化进程将与全面建设社会主义现代化国家新征程的"两个阶段"基本同步.该进程从全局和战略上对我国发展老龄事业和银发经济提出更高要求.中日韩三国同为深受儒家思想影响的东亚近邻,在人口老龄化方面有相似之处,考虑到应对人口老龄化的理念和制度是相通的,因此"十五五"时期合理借鉴日本和韩国发展银发经济的经验,不仅有利于缩短我国制度探索的时间,也会使得银发经济的发展更具前瞻性和可持续性.

Currently,China is in a stage of rapid population aging.According to relevant projections,China will enter a stage of severe aging around 2035 and reach the peak of population aging around 2050.This process of population aging will largely coincide with the"two phases"of China's new journey toward comprehensively building a modern socialist country.From an overall and strategic perspective,this process imposes higher demands on China's development of elderly care services and the silver economy.China,Japan,and Korea are close neighbors in east Asian deeply influenced by Confucianism and sharing similarities in terms of population aging.Given that the concepts and systems for addressing population aging are interconnec-ted,rationally drawing on the experiences of Japan and South Korea in developing the silver economy during the 15th Five-Year Plan period will not only help shorten the time required for China's institutional exploration but also make the development of the silver economy more forward-looking and sustainable.

黄庆平

江苏开放大学 商学院,江苏 南京 210009

管理科学

老龄化银发经济日韩发展模式"十五五"时期

population agingsilver economyJapan and Koreadevelopment modelthe 15th Five-Year Plan period

《当代经济管理》 2026 (3)

64-74,11

10.13253/j.cnki.ddjjgl.2026.03.007

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