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数字治理、农民收入与扩大内需三者关系研究OA

Research on the Relationship Among Digital Management,Farmers' Income and Expanding Domestic Demand

中文摘要英文摘要

数字治理是中国政府治理改革的重要方向.扩大内需是构建新发展格局的战略基点.本研究以"互联网+政务服务"试点构建准自然实验,利用2012~2020年我国1297个县域的面板数据,运用双重差分法,探讨数字治理对扩大内需的影响及其作用机制.研究发现,以"互联网+政务服务"试点为代表的数字治理显著提升农民的消费水平,有效扩大了国内消费需求.机制检验表明,该政策通过增加农民收入来扩大内需.进一步分析发现,在经济发展水平高和财政压力低的县域,该政策对内需的刺激作用更加显著.根据研究结论提出:全面提升政府数字治理能力,推动建设服务型政府;促进农民增收减负,有效提振消费信心;针对地区差异施策,精准刺激内部需求等建议,以期为相关研究及实践提供参考.

Digital governance represents a critical direction of China's governmental reform,while expanding domestic demand constitutes the strategic cornerstone for building a new development paradigm.Taking the"Internet Plus Government Services"pilot program as a quasi-natural experiment,this study utilizes panel data from 1,297 counties across China over the period 2012-2020 and applies a difference-in-differences approach to examine the impact of digital governance on the expansion of domestic demand and its underlying mechanisms.The results show that digital governance,as exemplified by the"Internet Plus Government Services"pilot,significantly increases farmers'consumption levels and effectively expands domestic consumption demand.Mechanism tests indicate that this policy promotes the expansion of domestic demand primarily by raising farmers'income.Further analysis reveals that the demand-stimulating effect is more pronounced in counties with higher levels of economic development and lower fiscal pressure.Based on these findings,the study proposes policy recommendations including comprehensively enhancing governmental digital governance capacity to advance the development of a service-oriented government,promoting income growth and burden reduction for farmers to strengthen consumer confidence,and adopting differentiated,region-specific policy measures to precisely stimulate domestic demand.

赵茂林;王光照

安徽财经大学经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030安徽财经大学经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030

管理科学

数字治理农民收入消费扩大内需

digital governancefarmers'incomeconsumptionexpanding domestic demand

《沈阳农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2025 (4)

438-447,10

安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目(AHSKF2021D13)安徽省教育厅高等学校省级质量工程项目(2020JXTD006)

10.3969/j.issn.1008-9713.2025.04.006

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