首页|期刊导航|科技创新与应用|基于PSO-BP神经网络的热电厂负荷预测策略研究

基于PSO-BP神经网络的热电厂负荷预测策略研究OA

中文摘要英文摘要

目前能源的高效利用和绿色发展受到学者们广泛的关注.该文针对某热电厂能源管理系统产生的大量历史数据,采用大数据分析的方法计算出数据之间的关联系数,以判断数据间的关联状况.建立PSO-BP神经网络模型对某热电厂未来 24h的热负荷进行预测,以便为热电厂更好地提供生产、运营、管理决策服务等.PSO-BP神经网络模型是将粒子群算法与BP算法融合产生的,不仅能够提高BP神经网络的预测精度,而且可以有效地解决BP神经网络算法学习速度慢及易陷入局部极小值、稳定性差等问题.

At present,the efficient use of energy and green development have attracted widespread attention from scholars.Based on a large amount of historical data generated by the energy management system of a thermal power plant,this paper uses big data analysis method to calculate the correlation coefficient between the data to judge the correlation status between the data.A PSO-BP neural network model is established to predict the heat load of a thermal power plant in the next 24 hours,in order to better provide production,operation,management and decision-making services for the thermal power plant.The PSO-BP neural network model is produced by fusing particle swarm algorithm and BP algorithm.It not only improves the prediction accuracy of BP neural network,but also effectively solves the problem of slow learning speed of BP neural network algorithm,easy to fall into local minima,poor stability,etc.

胡旭;米欣;曹琦

国家节能中心,北京 100045沈阳工业大学,沈阳 110870大连理工大学,辽宁 大连 116024

信息技术与安全科学

大数据分析用热特性预测模型PSO-BP神经网络预测精度

big data analysisthermal characteristicsprediction modelPSO-BP neural networkprediction accuracy

《科技创新与应用》 2026 (1)

32-35,4

10.19981/j.CN23-1581/G3.2026.01.007

评论