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乌克兰危机背景下俄乌情报工作模式转型的比较分析OA

A Comparative Analysis of the Transformation of Intelligence Work Models in Russia and Ukraine Against the Background of the Ukraine Crisis

中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]情报是影响战争与地缘局势的重要变量,将情报带回战争研究中,有助于深化人们对情报与战争互动逻辑的理解.[方法]本文基于"理念—权力—技术"三维因素形成一个整合性分析框架,通过比较案例分析法,对乌克兰危机背景下俄乌情报工作模式转型的差异化历程进行剖析.[结果/结论]外部威胁属性是影响一国能否冲破既有情报理念和调整组织体系,进而实现情报工作模式有效转型的关键窗口.乌克兰在面临生存性安全威胁后全面引入西方情报模式,形成灵活便捷、高度智能化的情报作战模式,并取得一定的非对称优势;而俄罗斯却未能冲破其固有的集权式情报理念和组织体系,其情报技术得以强化的同时情报体系却愈加僵化,对于分散式袭击、灵活多变的现代战场局势的适应力相对有限.

[Purpose]Intelligence is a significant variable influencing wars and geopolitical situations.Bringing intelligence back into war studies can deepen the understanding of the interactive logic between intelligence and war.[Method]This paper forms an integrated ana-lytical framework based on the three-dimensional factors of"idea-power-technology",and dissects the differentiated transformation processes of intelligence work models in Russia and Ukraine under the background of the Ukraine crisis through comparative case analysis.[Result/Conclusion]The nature of external threats is a key factor influencing whether a country can break through its existing intelligence concept and adjust its organizational system,thereby achieving an effective transformation of its intelligence work model.After facing a survival-threatening security threat,Ukraine comprehensively introduced the Western intelligence model,forming a flexible,convenient,and highly intelligent intelligence combat model and achieving certain asymmetric advantages.Russia,despite facing a huge geopolitical threat,failed to break through its inherent centralized intelligence ideology and organizational system,while its intelligence technology was strengthened,its intelligence system became more rigid,and its adaptability to decentralized attacks and flexible modern battlefield situa-tions was relatively limited.

候为刚

国际关系学院国家安全学院 北京 100091

社会科学

乌克兰危机情报工作模式生存安全威胁地缘安全威胁情报理念非对称优势

Ukraine crisisintelligence work modelsurvival security threatgeopolitical security threatintelligence ideaasymmetric advantage

《情报杂志》 2026 (2)

8-16,48,10

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目"数字时代大国安全情报战略的国际比较研究"(编号:Z20250052)研究成果.

10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2026.02.002

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