供给饱和背景下城镇流动人口家庭住房拥挤的供地解释OA
An Explanation from the Perspective of Land Supply for the Residential Overcrowding of Chinese Urban Migrant Families in the Context of Excess Supply
在住房供给饱和背景下,既往需求侧经济社会因素和供给侧户籍制度因素尚不足以缓解城镇流动人口家庭住房拥挤.为此,增加供地制度视角,构建供地制度影响城镇流动人口家庭住房拥挤的分析框架,并提供住房供给饱和背景下城镇流动人口家庭住房拥挤的实证解释.研究发现:(1)在住房饱和阶段,我国城镇流动人口家庭住房拥挤仍高于城镇户籍人口家庭,但二者住房拥挤差距已小于住房紧缺阶段;(2)不同群体住房拥挤差距的缩小可用供地制度改革来解释,一方面归功于新时代十年实施的人地挂钩政策,另一方面掣肘于土地财政依赖力量;(3)就控制变量而言,需求侧经济因素和供给侧户籍改革均会缓解城镇流动人口家庭住房拥挤,家庭规模等需求侧社会因素则起到相反作用.
In the context of excess supply in housing,socioeconomic factors from the demand side and the hukou factor from the supply side,as previous literature mentioned,cannot solely alleviate the residential overcrowding of the urban migrant family.From the per-spective of land supply,the paper constructs the conceptual framework for the impact of land supply on residential overcrowding of the urban migrant family,and proposes the empirical explanation in the context of excess supply.It turns out that:(1)Compared to the urban local family,the urban migrant family still suffers more from the residential overcrowding in the stage of housing excess,but the gap between these groups declines than that in the stage of housing shortage;(2)The decline of overcrowding gap between the urban migrant family and local family is due to institutional change of land supply,i.e.,the narrowing effect of people-land link policy and broadening effect of land finance policy;(3)In terms of control variables,the economic factor from demand side and hukou factor from supply side can alleviate the residential overcrowding of the urban migrant family,while such social factor as family size from demand side can worsen that.
柴国俊;孙若宸;刘文华
河北经贸大学经济学院,河北石家庄 050061西南财经大学经济与管理研究院,四川成都 611130东北财经大学经济学院,辽宁大连 116025
管理科学
流动人口住房拥挤土地供给供给饱和
migrantresidential overcrowdingland supplyexcess supply
《经济与管理》 2026 (1)
83-92,封3,11
河北省社会科学基金重点项目(HB24YJ033)
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