基于机器学习的地下温度预测方法研究现状OA
Current research on machine learning-based methods for underground temperature prediction
地下温度预测是地热资源高效开发与可持续利用的关键环节.传统预测方法受限于复杂地质数据的非线性特征和多源信息融合难题,难以满足精准化需求.机器学习算法凭借其强大的数据挖掘与非线性建模能力,为地下温度预测提供了新思路.笔者系统综述了机器学习在地下温度预测中的研究进展,重点分析了神经网络及其变体算法在多源数据融合、间接地温计优化中的应用效果,对比了不同算法的预测精度与适应性.研究表明,神经网络、聚类分析等创新方法显著提升了深层地热储层温度预测的可靠性.然而,现有研究仍面临时空动态特征缺失、模型泛化能力不足等挑战.笔者进一步提出融合时空序列分析、迁移学习与三维地质建模的优化路径,为地热资源勘探开发提供理论与技术参考.
Underground temperature prediction serves as a critical component for efficient geothermal resource exploitation and sustainable utilization.Conventional prediction methods remain constrained by the nonlinear characteristics of complex geological data and challenges in multi-source information integration,often failing to meet precision requirements.Machine learning algorithms,leveraging their robust data mining and nonlinear modeling capabilities,offer novel approaches for subsurface thermal forecasting.This paper systematically reviews recent advancements in machine learning applications for underground temperature prediction,with particular emphasis on analyzing the performance of neural networks and their variants in multi-source data fusion and the optimization of indirect geothermometers.A comparative evaluation of prediction accuracy and adaptability across different algorithms is presented.Research demonstrates that innovative methodologies,including neural networks and clustering analysis,significantly enhance the reliability of temperature prediction in deep geothermal reservoirs.Nevertheless,current studies still face challenges,including inadequate representation of spatiotemporal dynamics and limited model generalizability.The study further proposes optimized pathways integrating spatiotemporal sequence analysis,transfer learning,and 3D geological modeling,providing theoretical and technical references for geothermal resource exploration and development.
MA Xin;ZHANG Qianjiang;YIN Wenbin;CHEN Qianwen;JIANG Yanxiang
College of Earth Sciences,Guilin University of Technology,Guilin 541000,ChinaCollege of Earth Sciences,Guilin University of Technology,Guilin 541000,China||Institute of Urban Underground Space and Energy Studies,The Chinese University of Hongkong(Shenzhen),Shenzhen 518172,China||Chongqing Academy of Green and Low-Carbon Energy Science and Technology,Chongqing,402160,ChinaInstitute of Urban Underground Space and Energy Studies,The Chinese University of Hongkong(Shenzhen),Shenzhen 518172,China||Chongqing Academy of Green and Low-Carbon Energy Science and Technology,Chongqing,402160,ChinaCollege of Earth Sciences,Guilin University of Technology,Guilin 541000,ChinaChina Construction Sixth Engineering Bureau Group South China Construction Co.,Ltd.,Hangzhou 311302,China
天文与地球科学
地热资源热储温度地温预测机器学习
geothermal resourcesreservoir temperaturegeothermal temperature predictionmachine learning
《物探化探计算技术》 2026 (1)
67-77,11
国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFF0718001)云南省重大专项项目(202302AC080003)内蒙古揭榜挂帅项目(2025KJTW0020)国家自然科学基金项目(42174080)基础设施工程项目(1220144922)
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