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"双碳"目标下林产工业碳减排责任分配OA

Allocation of carbon emission reduction responsibilities for forest products industry under carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals

中文摘要英文摘要

林产工业具有"碳源""碳储"双重属性,科学分配其碳减排责任,对明确区域与行业减排义务具有重要意义.文中从公平、效率和可行性分配原则出发,以2030年碳强度下降目标为约束,建立2025-2030年省级林产工业碳减排责任分配模型.研究发现:1)公平性原则是林产工业碳减排责任分配的核心准则,其所占权重最大(0.420),效率性(0.388)次之,可行性(0.192)最低.2)在65%的碳强度目标约束下,2025-2030年林产工业基础减排率为0.618%,累计应承担碳减排量30456.768t,虽责任相对较小但仍需积极履行.3)林产工业碳减排责任空间分布不均,广东、山东、江苏等东部沿海省份承担主要减排责任,而北京、甘肃、青海等地区责任相对较小.因此,需构建以公平、效率和可行性原则为目标导向的减排责任分配体系,实施"共同但有区别"省份减排方案,制定多元化、差异化行业减排方案,以充分发挥林业在应对气候变化中的作用.

The forestry products industry has the dual attributes of"carbon source"and"carbon storage",and the scientific allocation of its carbon emission reduction responsibilities is of great significance to clarify regional and industry emission reduction obligations.Based on the principles of fairness,efficiency and feasibility allocation,and constrained by the 2030 carbon intensity reduction target,the provincial forest products industry carbon emission reduction responsibility allocation model from 2025 to 2030 is established.The results show that:1)The principle of fairness is the core criterion for the allocation of carbon emission reduction responsibilities in the forestry products industry,with the largest weight(0.420),the second highest efficiency(0.388),and the lowest feasibility(0.192).2)Under the constraint of the 65%carbon intensity target,the basic emission reduction rate of the forestry products industry from 2025 to 2030 is 0.618%,and the cumulative carbon emission reduction should be 30,456.768 tons.3)The spatial distribution of carbon emission reduction responsibilities in the forestry products industry is uneven,with eastern coastal provinces such as Guangdong,Shandong,and Jiangsu bearing the main responsibility for emission reduction,while Beijing,Gansu,Qinghai and other regions bear relatively small responsibilities.Therefore,it is necessary to accelerate the green and low-carbon transformation of the forestry products industry in various provinces to support the efficient implementation of the"dual carbon"strategy.

XING Fangyuan;HOU Fangmiao;ZHANG Yang

School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,ChinaSchool of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,ChinaSchool of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China

管理科学

林产工业碳减排责任木质林产品碳储碳达峰碳中和

forest products industrycarbon emission reduction responsibilitycarbon stock of harvested wood productscarbon peakingcarbon neutrality

《干旱区资源与环境》 2026 (1)

31-40,10

国家社会科学基金(22BJY222)资助.

10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2026.003

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