Different effects of eastern and central Pacific El Niño events on the surface shortwave radiation over southern China in winterOA
This study investigates the distinct impacts of eastern Pacific(EP)and central Pacific(CP)El Niño events on winter shortwave solar radiation(SSR)in southern China,revealing different spatial distributions and underlying mechanisms.The results show that,during the developing winter of EP El Niño,significant SSR reductions occur in southwestern China and the east coast of southern China due to a strong,zonally extended Northwest Pacific anticyclone that transports moisture from the tropical Northwest Pacific and North Indian Ocean,while the northeast of southern China experiences a weak increase in SSR.In contrast,during the developing winter of CP El Niño,SSR decreases in the east of southern China with a significant decrease in the lower basin of the Yangtze River but an increase in the west of southern China with a remarkable increase in eastern Yunnan.The pronounced east-west dipole pattern in SSR anomalies is driven by a meridionally elongated Northwest Pacific anticyclone,which enhances northward moisture transport to the east of southern China while leaving western areas drier.Further research reveals that distinct moisture anomalies during the developing winter of EP and CP events result in divergent SSR distributions across southern China,primarily through modulating the total cloud cover.These findings highlight the critical need to differentiate between El Niño types when predicting medium and long-term variability of radiation in southern China.
Ming Cheng;Ziniu Xiao;Xinyi Lai;Jingjing Xu;Siyu Lu;Baorong Zhou;Weisi Deng
CSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,China State Key Laboratory of HVDC,CSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,ChinaState Key Laboratory of HVDC,CSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,ChinaCSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,China State Key Laboratory of HVDC,CSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,ChinaState Key Laboratory of HVDC,CSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,ChinaCSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,China State Key Laboratory of HVDC,CSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,ChinaCSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,China State Key Laboratory of HVDC,CSG Electric Power Research Institute,Guangzhou,ChinaPower Dispatching and Control Center,China Southern Power Grid,Guangzhou,China
海洋科学
EP El NiñoCP ElNiño Shortwave solar radiationNorthwest Pacific anticycloneTotal cloud coverTotal column water
《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2026 (1)
P.27-33,7
funded by a Project from China Southern Power Grid Company Ltd.(Nos.ZBKJXM20232481 and ZBKJXM20232482)。
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