首页|期刊导航|交通信息与安全|近20年来民航联合基金项目演进特征及未来展望

近20年来民航联合基金项目演进特征及未来展望OA北大核心

Research Hotspots and Prospects of NSFC-Civil Aviation Joint Research Fund in Recent 20 Years

中文摘要英文摘要

民航联合基金服务国家战略需求,聚焦民航应用基础研究,促进民航科技创新,研究成果助力行业发展.为系统把握民航联合基金项目的演进特征,采用词频分析和潜在狄利克雷分配(latent Dirichlet alloca-tion,LDA)主题建模方法对2004-2023年民航联合基金项目指南和立项信息进行文本挖掘,揭示项目指南关键词特征,剖析立项研究热点及其演进规律,并对未来民航科技研究进行展望.研究表明:①民航联合基金具有阶段性明显、研究力量多元化的总体特征;②项目指南与国家政策及战略发展方向高度契合,民用航空、机场、飞机、安全、突发事件、新航行系统等是近20年来民航联合基金指南经常涉及的关键词,低空运行有望成为未来几年来新兴方向;③民航联合基金主要集中在航空器适航、机场建设与运行、航空安全与风险管理、突发事件与应急管理、绿色民航等11个研究主题;④航空器适航、机场建设与运行、空中交通管理与优化、航空安全与风险管理4个主题贯穿整个周期,表现出持续的热度.民航科技研究热点正从传统的基础设施建设和安全技术领域,逐渐向信息化、智能化和绿色发展等新兴领域转移,并呈现出从单一学科主导向多学科交叉融合的转变趋势.未来民航科技将将聚焦打造数智民航生态、提升全系统安全与推进绿色低碳运行等3个方向,通过多元协同交叉融合、构建自主知识体系,推动民航高质量发展.

The NSFC-Civil Aviation Joint Research Fund serves national strategic needs,focuses on fundamental re-search for civil aviation applications,promotes scientific and technological innovation,and supports industry devel-opment through its research outcomes.To systematically understand the topic evolution of the NSFC-Civil Aviation Joint Research Fund projects,a text mining method combining word frequency analysis and latent Dirichlet alloca-tion(LDA)topic modeling is applied to analyze the topic selection guidelines and project approvals from 2004 to 2023.The study reveals the keyword characteristics of the guidelines,analyzes research hotspots and their evolution-ary trends,and provides the research prospects of civil aviation.The results indicate that:①The NSFC-Civil Avia-tion Joint Research Fund exhibits distinct phases and attracts diversified research forces.②The guidelines are high-ly consistent with national policies and strategic development directions.Keywords such as civil aviation,airport,aircraft,safety,emergencies,and NextGen have frequently appeared in the guidelines over the past 20 years,while low-altitude operation may emerge as a new hotspot in future.③The fund mainly focuses on 11 research topics,in-cluding aircraft airworthiness,airport construction and operation,air traffic management and optimization,aviation safety and risk management,emergencies and emergency management,green aviation,and so on.④Four topics in-cluding aircraft airworthiness,airport construction and operation,air traffic management and optimization,and avia-tion safety and risk management have remained hot in the past 20 years.The research hotspots in civil aviation are shifting from traditional infrastructure construction and safety technology fields to emerging fields such as informati-zation,intelligence,and green development.The trend is also moving from single-discipline dominance to multidis-ciplinary integration.Looking ahead,the future NSFC-Civil Aviation Joint Research Fund is expected to focus on constructing a digital intelligence ecology,enhancing system-wide safety,and promoting green development.By fos-tering multifaceted synergistic cross-fertilization and developimg an autonomous knowledge system,it aims to drive the high-quality development of civil aviation.

孙亮;邹建新;扈新强

中国民航管理干部学院 北京 100102中国民航管理干部学院 北京 100102中国民航管理干部学院 北京 100102

航空航天

民航联合基金热点分析主题演进文本挖掘研究展望

NSFC-Civil Aviation Joint Research Fundhotspot analysistopic evolutiontext miningresearch pros-pect

《交通信息与安全》 2025 (3)

1-9,23,10

国家自然科学基金项目(72273138)资助

10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2025.03.001

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