模拟中国东部毛竹林分生物量

Modeling stand biomass for moso bamboo forests in eastern China

来源:中文会议(科协)
中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]林分生物量模型可作为森林经营管理的基本决策工具。毛竹林是热带和亚热带地区的主要森林系统,代表着一个巨大的碳汇,减缓了气候变暖。竹林生物量模型对于评估碳对陆地生态系统的贡献非常重要。[方法]我们使用来自中国江苏省宜兴市国有林场的 45个样地调查数据构建了一个毛竹林生物量模型。[结果]在林分生物量模型中用作预测因子的几个林分变量中,竹子的平均胸(MDBH)、平均高度(MH)和郁闭度(CD)对模型的贡献显著。为了提高模型的精度,我们通过混合效应建模,将竹林区组作为随机效应引入模型中。混合效应模型描述了林分生物量的大部分变化(R2= 0.6987),显著高于普通最小二乘回归模型(R2=0.5748)。[结论]随着MH和CD的增加,竹林生物量增加,证实了我们模型的生物学逻辑。所提出的林分生物量模型可能具有重要的管理意义,例如,它可以与其他竹子模型相结合,估计不同生长阶段的竹子冠层生物量、固碳量和竹子生物量。

[Objective]Stand biomass models can be used as basic decision-making tools in forest management planning.The moso bamboo(Phyllostachys pubescens)forest,a major forest system in tropical and subtropical regions,represents a substantial carbon sink,slowing down the rise of greenhouse gas concentration in the earth's atmosphere.Bamboo stand biomass models are important for assessment of the contribution of carbon to the terrestrial ecosystem.[Method]We constructed a stand biomass model for moso bamboo using destructively sampled data from 45 sample plots that were located across the Yixing state-owned Farm,Jiangsu Province,China.[Result]Among several bamboo stand variables used as predictors in the stand biomass models,mean diameter at breast height(MDBH),mean height(MH)and canopy density(CD)of bamboo contributed significantly highly to the model.To increase the model's accuracy,we introduced the effects of bamboo forest block as a random effect into the model through the mixed-effects modeling.The mixed-effects model described a large part of stand biomass variation(R2 = 0.6987),significantly higher than that of the ordinary least square regression model(R2:0.5748).Our results show an increased bamboo stand biomass with increasing MH and CD,confirming our model's biological logics.[Conclusion]The proposed stand biomass model may have important management implications,for example it can be combined with other bamboo models to estimate bamboo canopy biomass,carbon sequestration and bamboo biomass at different growth stages.

周潇;官凤英;

国际竹藤中心 北京 100020;国际竹藤中心 北京 100020;

第十五届中国林业青年学术年会

地上生物量 地下生物量 随机效应 异质性 毛竹

Aboveground biomass Belowground biomass Random effect Heteroscedasticity

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